Thaum lub Cuaj Hlis 2023, cov roj crude tseem siab thiab tsis hloov pauv, cov khoom siv raw cov ntaub ntawv hnyav tau ntau dua, thiab cuam tshuam los ntawm cov roj crude nruj thiab siv cov quotas, kaw lub sij hawm luv luv lossis tsis zoo ntawm kev teeb tsa refinery tseem nyob, thiab qhov kev thov rau cov khoom nruab nrab tau nce. Cov khoom siv roj hauv tsev hauv lub Cuaj Hli tseem poob qis me ntsis txij lub Yim Hli. Nyob rau lub Cuaj Hli, cov khoom lag luam roj hauv tsev yog 1,021,300 tons, poob 2.19% lub hli-rau-hli thiab nce 11.54% xyoo rau xyoo. Cov roj hluav taws xob hauv tsev lag luam txij lub Ib Hlis mus txog Lub Cuaj Hli 2023 yog 9,057,300 tons, nce 2,468,100 tons, lossis 37.46%, piv nrog tib lub sijhawm xyoo tas los.

Cov roj ua lag luam ntim hauv Shandong yog 495,100 tons, nqis 24.35% ntawm lub quarter dhau los. Lub hlis no, cov roj cov khoom lag luam ntim hauv cheeb tsam Shandong tau poob qis los ntawm lub hli dhau los. Cov kev tsom xam tshwj xeeb yog raws li nram no: Nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm slurry lag luam, lub refinery nyob rau hauv Tuam Tshoj Chemical Group tau staged lub ntim, lub Xinyue catalytic unit tau ua hauj lwm ib txwm, thiab lub Luqing slurry tau raug tso tawm ib txwm. Txawm hais tias qhov pib catalytic ntawm ib tus neeg refineries tau txo qis, tag nrho cov khoom ntim ntawm cov roj slurry tau nce piv nrog lub hli dhau los; Nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm residuum, Qicheng cog resumed ntau lawm successively, Junsheng cog resumed ntau lawm nyob rau hauv lub xeem ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo tom qab ncua kev kawm ntawv, Aoxing ntau lawm tshem tawm residuum export muag poob, Luqing petrochemical residuum kuj nres export, zuag qhia tag nrho, Shandong av slag roj khoom ntim. txo qis heev; Nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm wax roj, txwv los ntawm cov nqi siab, Luqing, Aoxing thiab lwm yam wax roj raug tshem tawm tawm sab nraud, thaum lub sij hawm cov khoom siv quav ciab nyob rau hauv lub thib ob ib nrab ntawm lub hli yog nruj thiab tus nqi yog siab, Changyi, Shengxing thiab lwm yam wax luv- lub sij hawm tso tawm sab nraud, tag nrho cov quav ciab ntim tau poob qis los ntawm lub hli dhau los.

Tus nqi roj ntawm Tuam Tshoj East yog 37,700 tons, nqis 36.75% ntawm lub hli dhau los. Lub hlis no, cov roj slurry khoom ntim nyob rau hauv East Tuam Tshoj ua lag luam yog ib tug kuj ruaj khov, tus nqi ntawm tsawg-sulfur residuum yog tsav los ntawm cov roj crude, thiab cov kev coj noj coj ua ntawm tsawg-sulfur residuum nyob rau hauv East Tuam Tshoj yog feem ntau inclined rau cov kev taw qhia ntawm lub nkoj. -fuel, nkoj-roj sib tov nqi yog nyob rau hauv siab, thiab downstream kev txiav txim yog ceev faj, ua rau ib tug tseem ceeb poob rau hauv lub ntim ntawm residuum khoom.

Cov roj cov khoom ntim hauv Northeast Tuam Tshoj yog 265,400 tons, nce 114.03% ntawm lub hli dhau los. Nyob rau hauv nruab nrab thiab thaum ntxov lub hlis no, cov roj seem nyob rau hauv Northeast Tuam Tshoj muaj ib tug loj arbitrage ntau yam nrog rau lwm yam kev lag luam, thiab cov khoom xa tuaj tau nce ntau. Thiab lub ntsiab refinery Haoye residual roj thiab ciab roj exported ruaj khov, tag nrho cov lag luam roj cov khoom ntim tau pom ib tug ntse nce.

Tus nqi roj hauv North Tuam Tshoj yog 147,600 tons, nce 0.41% ntawm lub hli dhau los. Lub hlis no, cov roj seem, cov roj ciab thiab cov roj slurry ntawm lub ntsiab refinery nyob rau hauv North Tuam Tshoj yog qhov yooj yim, thiab cov khoom ntim tsis hloov ntau npaum li lub hli dhau los.

Cov roj ntim roj hauv Northwest Tuam Tshoj yog 17,200 tons, nce 13.16% ntawm lub hli dhau los. Nyob rau lub Cuaj Hli, lub tuam txhab tseem ceeb sab nraud nyob rau sab qaum teb sab hnub poob tau hloov pauv mus rau cov roj uas tsis muaj sulfur residual, thiab cov khoom ntim tau poob qis, tab sis cov roj slurry txuas ntxiv tau zoo dua, thiab tag nrho cov khoom ntim tau nce los ntawm lub hli dhau los.

Cov roj ntim roj nyob rau sab hnub poob ntawm Tuam Tshoj yog 59,000 tons, nce 31.11% ntawm lub hli dhau los. Lub hli no, Shandong, North Tuam Tshoj, East Tuam Tshoj thiab lwm qhov chaw uas tsis muaj sulfur residue tsuas yog xav tau kev txhawb nqa, tus nqi tau nce, lub qab teb sab hnub poob qis-sulfur residue nrog qhov nce yog tsis muaj zog dua li thaj tsam sab hnub tuaj, qhov sib txawv ntawm qhov sib txawv tau nthuav dav, ntim ntawm cov khoom lag luam tau nce ntau lub hli tas los.

Nyob rau lub Cuaj Hli, qhov kev faib ua feem ntawm txhua yam khoom lag luam hauv cov khoom siv roj hauv tsev tsis hloov pauv ntau, cov roj seem thiab cov roj ciab cov khoom ntim tau poob qis me ntsis, thiab cov roj slurry cov khoom ntim tau nce ntau. Thaum lub Cuaj Hlis, cov khoom ntim ntawm cov roj seem yog 664,100 tons, nqis 2.85% ntawm lub hli dhau los. Cov khoom lag luam roj seem suav nrog 65% ntawm tag nrho cov khoom siv roj hauv tsev, nqis 1 feem pua ​​​​ntawm lub hli dhau los. Lub ntsiab kev loj hlob ntawm cov roj seem nyob rau lub hlis no yog nyob rau sab qaum teb sab hnub tuaj, lub ntsiab refinery Haoye coking chav tsev ua ntej qhov ruaj khov tso cov roj residual, thiab Northeast thiab North Tuam Tshoj, Shandong arbitrage qhov rais yog ruaj khov, ib tug loj tus naj npawb ntawm cov ntawv cog lus outflow, qhov nce. ntawm Northeast residual roj yog pom tseeb. Nyob rau tib lub sij hawm, Shandong cheeb tsam Qicheng ib txwm thiab lub tshuab nqus tsev tu, Luqing petrochemical residue raug tshem tawm sab nraud tawm thiab lwm yam kev cuam tshuam, cov roj seem ntawm cov khoom ntim tau poob qis, East Tuam Tshoj, North China, Southwest thiab lwm qhov chaw muaj kev ruaj khov, nce thiab poob offset, a Kev pom zoo ntawm cov roj seem me ntsis poob rau lub hli tas los. Nyob rau lub Cuaj Hli, kev lag luam ntim ntawm cov roj ciab yog 258,400 tons, nqis 5.93% ntawm lub hli dhau los; Cov khoom lag luam roj ciab suav txog 25% ntawm tag nrho cov khoom siv roj hauv tsev, nqis 1 feem pua ​​​​ntawm lub hli dhau los. Lub khw muag roj tseem ceeb tseem yog thaj tsam Shandong thiab thaj av qaum teb sab hnub tuaj, thaj tsam Shandong vim muaj cov roj av siab, qee qhov chaw tsim khoom raug txwv los ntawm tus nqi kom tshem tawm cov khoom siv quav ciab, qee qhov refineries tom qab ua tiav cov khoom siv thib ob, qhov ntim ntawm exhaled khoom. kuj tau poob qis heev, qhov ntim ntawm cov khoom siv quav ciab tau txo qis ntau lub hlis ntawm lub hlis, thaum lub ntsiab refinery nyob rau sab qaum teb Tuam Tshoj Haoye ciab ruaj khov exhaled, lub ntim ntawm cov khoom siv quav ciab tau nce ntau. Qhov nce thiab poob offset qhov nqaim poob ntawm wax roj lub hli nyob rau lub hli. Lub Cuaj Hli, cov khoom ntim ntawm cov roj slurry yog 98,800 tons, nce 12,900 tons lossis 15.02% ntawm lub hli dhau los; Roj slurry khoom ntim suav txog 10% ntawm tag nrho cov khoom siv roj hauv tsev, nce 2 feem pua ​​​​ntawm lub hli dhau los. Qhov loj hlob cheeb tsam ntawm cov roj slurry yog Shandong cheeb tsam, zus tau tej cov roj slurry nyob rau hauv Xinyue, Qicheng, Luqing thiab lwm yam refineries tau rov qab mus rau qhov qub, thiab cov lag luam ntim ntawm cov roj slurry tau nce ntau piv nrog lub hli dhau los.

Kev ua lag luam yav tom ntej:

Thaum Lub Kaum Hli, qhov pib thiab nres ntawm cov khoom siv hauv Shandong kev lag luam poob qis, thiab kev tsim khoom thiab kev muag khoom tseem nyob ruaj khov; Tom qab lub chaw ua haujlwm thib ob ntawm lub ntsiab refinery nyob rau sab qaum teb Tuam Tshoj tau qhib, cov roj seem tshuav raug txo, thiab cov phiaj xwm ntawm cov roj ciab tseem khaws cia. Tsis tas li ntawd, cov roj crude siab volatility, tab sis ib tug tshiab batch ntawm crude roj ua quotas los yog yuav decentralized, domestic roj mov nro yuav eased, zuag qhia tag nrho, nyob rau hauv Lub kaum hli ntuj domestic roj roj cov khoom ntim nqaim fluctuations, fluctuations ntau yam ntawm 900-950,000. tons.